Earlypay Lowers FY25 EPS Guidance to 1.8c, Reports $8m Surplus Capital

Earlypay Limited has lowered its FY25 earnings guidance due to weaker-than-expected invoice finance usage, while signaling ongoing talks about a potential change of control.

  • Invoice Finance Funds in Use fell short in H2 FY25
  • Underlying EPS guidance downgraded from 2.2 to 1.8 cents per share
  • Equipment Finance segment shows steady growth
  • Trade Finance winding down as planned
  • Potential change of control discussions underway, share buyback paused
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Earlypay’s Mixed Half-Year Performance

Earlypay Limited (ASX: EPY), a specialist in working capital finance for Australian SMEs, has released a trading update revealing a softer second half for its core Invoice Finance product. Funds in Use (FIU) for Invoice Finance fell below expectations due to reduced activity from existing clients, higher attrition, and slower uptake from new customers. This underperformance has prompted the company to revise down its underlying earnings per share (EPS) guidance for FY25 to 1.8 cents, from an earlier forecast of 2.2 cents.

Despite these challenges, Earlypay’s Equipment Finance division continues to expand steadily, delivering attractive margins and providing a bright spot in the portfolio. Meanwhile, the Trade Finance product is being deliberately wound down, with its contribution to income significantly lower in the second half as planned.

Capital Position and Debt-Free Status

On the balance sheet front, Earlypay has made a notable stride by fully repaying its remaining $5 million corporate loan in April, leaving the company debt-free at the corporate level. This deleveraging strengthens Earlypay’s financial flexibility as it approaches the end of FY25. The company anticipates holding approximately $8 million in surplus capital, equivalent to around 3 cents per share, which it is actively exploring ways to deploy to maximise shareholder value.

Corporate Activity and Market Implications

Adding an element of intrigue, Earlypay disclosed ongoing discussions regarding a potential change of control transaction. While details remain sparse and there is no certainty that a deal will materialise, the company has paused its previously announced share buyback program in light of these talks. This development suggests strategic options are being considered that could reshape Earlypay’s ownership or operational structure.

CEO James Beeson emphasised the company’s commitment to keeping the market informed in line with continuous disclosure obligations, signalling that investors should expect further updates as these discussions evolve.

Looking Ahead

Earlypay’s revised outlook reflects the challenges in its Invoice Finance segment but also highlights resilience in other areas and a clean balance sheet. The potential change of control adds a layer of uncertainty but also opportunity, making the coming months critical for shareholders and market watchers alike.

Bottom Line?

Earlypay’s FY25 earnings downgrade and potential ownership changes set the stage for a pivotal period ahead.

Questions in the middle?

  • What are the specifics and timeline of the potential change of control transaction?
  • How will Earlypay deploy its $8 million surplus capital to enhance shareholder value?
  • Can the Equipment Finance growth offset ongoing softness in Invoice Finance going forward?