Johns Lyng Faces Uncertainty as CAT Revenue Falls and $1.1bn Buyout Looms

Johns Lyng Group delivered steady FY25 financial results with revenue growth and strong core operations, while securing a $1.1 billion acquisition offer from Pacific Equity Partners.

  • Group revenue rose 1.8% to $1.18 billion despite fewer catastrophe events
  • Core Business-as-Usual operations showed strong growth, offsetting CAT revenue decline
  • New multi-year contracts and strategic acquisitions expanded national footprint
  • Pacific Equity Partners proposed $4.00 per share acquisition, a 77% premium
  • FY26 guidance projects revenue growth to $1.264 billion with stable EBITDA
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Steady Performance in a Challenging Year

Johns Lyng Group Limited (ASX, JLG) has reported a resilient financial performance for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, navigating a landscape marked by fewer major weather catastrophes. The group’s total revenue climbed modestly by 1.8% to $1.18 billion, underpinned by robust Business-as-Usual (BaU) operations that compensated for a significant drop in catastrophe (CAT) revenue.

While CAT revenue fell sharply from $205.6 million in FY24 to $82 million in FY25, reflecting a quieter year for insured weather events nationally, BaU revenue surged to $1.026 billion, up from $863.9 million. This growth was driven by strong client relationships, strategic acquisitions, and a focus on innovation within the Insurance Building and Restoration Services segment.

Strategic Acquisitions and Contract Wins

Johns Lyng’s expansion strategy gained momentum with the acquisition of Queensland-based Keystone Group and the national strata platform SSKB, bolstering its presence on the east coast and in key service areas. Additionally, the group secured new multi-year contracts with major insurers including Zurich, AIG, Aidacare, and TIO, alongside contract extensions with established partners such as Suncorp and Allianz.

Commercial Building Services remained stable, contributing $65.5 million in revenue, while the Commercial Construction division entered the final phase of run-off, signaling a strategic shift away from that segment.

Capital Discipline and Cost Rationalisation

Despite external pressures, Johns Lyng maintained a strong balance sheet with net assets increasing to $504.9 million. The group implemented a global headcount reduction of approximately 120 full-time equivalents and trimmed non-essential overheads to align costs with operational realities. This disciplined approach supports the company’s capacity to reinvest in growth while preserving financial flexibility.

Acquisition Proposal by Pacific Equity Partners

Post-year-end, Johns Lyng announced a Scheme Implementation Deed with Sherwood BidCo Pty Ltd, controlled by Pacific Equity Partners (PEP), proposing a $4.00 per share cash acquisition. This offer values the company at approximately $1.1 billion equity and $1.3 billion enterprise value, representing a substantial premium of 77% over the pre-offer share price. The board has unanimously recommended the scheme, pending shareholder approval and an independent expert’s endorsement.

Outlook for FY26

Looking ahead, Johns Lyng projects FY26 sales revenue of $1.264 billion, reflecting a 12.1% increase in BaU revenue, while EBITDA is forecast to remain stable at $120.5 million. The company’s diversified business model, anchored by long-term contracts and recurring revenue streams, positions it well for continued growth despite ongoing uncertainties in catastrophe event frequency.

Bottom Line?

With a strong FY25 foundation and a transformative acquisition on the horizon, Johns Lyng Group is poised for a pivotal year ahead.

Questions in the middle?

  • Will the proposed acquisition by Pacific Equity Partners receive shareholder and regulatory approval?
  • How will the reduced frequency of catastrophe events impact Johns Lyng’s long-term revenue stability?
  • What synergies and growth opportunities will arise from recent acquisitions like Keystone Group and SSKB?