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Rio Tinto Eyes Glencore in Possible All-Share Deal; Decision Due by February

Mining By Maxwell Dee 3 min read

Rio Tinto and Glencore have entered preliminary talks about a possible all-share merger via a Court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement, though no firm offer has been made. The mining giants have until early February to decide on progressing the deal.

  • Preliminary discussions on all-share merger underway
  • Potential transaction via Court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement
  • No certainty of offer or terms at this stage
  • Deadline for firm intention announcement set for 5 February 2026
  • Regulatory disclosures required under UK Takeover Code

Preliminary Talks Signal Major Mining Sector Shift

Rio Tinto and Glencore, two of the world’s largest diversified mining companies, have confirmed they are in early-stage discussions about a potential combination of their businesses. The talks could culminate in an all-share merger, a move that would create a mining powerhouse with extensive global reach and diversified commodity exposure.

While the companies have not committed to any deal, the announcement reveals that the envisaged transaction would likely be executed through a Court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement, a legal mechanism often used in complex mergers to secure shareholder approval and regulatory compliance.

Uncertainty and Regulatory Framework

Importantly, Rio Tinto has made clear there is no certainty that an offer will be made, nor any details on the terms if it proceeds. This cautious language reflects the early nature of the discussions and the significant regulatory hurdles that such a merger would face, including scrutiny under the UK Takeover Code and competition authorities.

The companies have until 5 February 2026 to announce a firm intention to make an offer or to confirm they will not proceed. This deadline may be extended with the Takeover Panel’s consent, underscoring the procedural complexity involved.

Market and Investor Implications

The potential merger has significant implications for shareholders and the broader mining sector. An all-share deal would reshape ownership structures and could unlock synergies in operations, cost efficiencies, and market positioning. However, investors will be watching closely for details on valuation, share exchange ratios, and the strategic rationale behind the combination.

Both companies have dual-listed company structures spanning the UK and Australia, adding layers of complexity to any transaction. The announcement also highlights ongoing disclosure obligations and the possibility of market purchases of Glencore shares by Rio Tinto or its agents ahead of any formal offer.

Next Steps and Market Watch

As the situation develops, further announcements will be critical to understanding the scope and feasibility of the merger. Market participants should expect heightened volatility and increased scrutiny of both companies’ share prices and strategic communications in the coming weeks.

For now, the mining world is watching a potential consolidation that could redefine competitive dynamics and investor expectations in a sector already grappling with commodity price fluctuations and sustainability pressures.

Bottom Line?

The mining sector braces for a potential landmark merger, but uncertainty remains until Rio Tinto’s firm intentions are declared.

Questions in the middle?

  • What valuation and share exchange terms might Rio Tinto propose for Glencore?
  • How will regulators in multiple jurisdictions respond to a merger of this scale?
  • What operational synergies or challenges could arise from combining these mining giants?