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APAC Litigation Clouds Dexus’s Infrastructure Funds as FY27 Earnings Outlook Softens

Real Estate By Eva Park 6 min read

Dexus (ASX: DXS) reported steady FY26 results with AFFO of 45.0 cents per security and distributions of 37.0 cents, while initiating a strategic review of infrastructure funds following an adverse APAC court judgment.

  • AFFO steady at 45.0 cents per security
  • Distributions maintained at 37.0 cents per security
  • Statutory net profit rises to $482.2 million
  • Strategic review of infrastructure funds underway post-APAC judgment
  • Development pipeline valued at $12.8 billion with some delays

Financial Performance Meets Guidance Despite Market Headwinds

Dexus (ASX:DXS) closed FY26 with Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) steady at 45.0 cents per security and distributions held firm at 37.0 cents, reflecting a payout ratio of 82.1%. Statutory net profit after tax surged to $482.2 million, a marked improvement on FY25’s $136.1 million, buoyed by stabilising capitalisation rates and positive revaluation movements across its property portfolio.

The group’s $15.3 billion investment portfolio, dominated by office ($9.8 billion) and industrial ($3.6 billion) assets, demonstrated resilience with high occupancy rates, 95.7% for office and 94.6% for industrial, comfortably above market averages. Rent collections remained robust at 99.7%, underscoring tenant quality and portfolio strength.

Strategic Review of Infrastructure Funds Follows APAC Court Judgment

FY26 was overshadowed by a significant legal cloud: the NSW Supreme Court’s adverse judgment against the Dexus Bloc, representing about 27% of Australia Pacific Airports Corporation (APAC) investors. Dexus, acting in a fiduciary role, is funding the Bloc’s appeal, scheduled for October 2026, while absorbing approximately $60 million in legal costs related to the proceedings.

In response, Dexus has launched a strategic review of the infrastructure funds and mandates acquired from the 2023 AMP Capital transaction, which collectively manage $7.3 billion of third-party funds under management (FUM) and generate roughly $35 million in management fees. This review, involving extensive investor consultation, aims to chart a sustainable path forward, options include fund continuation, restructuring, consolidation, or liquidation. The final outcome hinges on the appeal’s result, injecting uncertainty into near-term earnings from this segment.

Funds Management and Capital Raising Drive Growth

Despite challenges, Dexus’s funds management business raised approximately $2 billion in third-party equity during FY26, including a $500 million commitment into the flagship Dexus Wholesale Property Fund (DWPF). DWPF recorded its strongest one-year return in almost four years, outperforming benchmarks across all reported periods, while the Dexus Wholesale Shopping Centre Fund (DWSF) led wholesale funds across multiple time horizons.

The Dexus Strategic Investment Trust (DSIT) series was seeded with a 25% stake in Westfield Chermside, Brisbane, raising $180 million in third-party capital. Meanwhile, Dexus Real Estate Partnership 2 (DREP2) exceeded its $600 million target by securing $870 million in commitments, reflecting renewed investor appetite for quality real estate exposure.

Development Pipeline and Portfolio Transitions

Dexus’s $12.8 billion real estate development pipeline remains a key growth lever, with $6.9 billion attributable to the listed portfolio and $5.9 billion to funds management. Notable projects include Atlassian Central in Sydney, on track for late 2026 completion, and Waterfront Brisbane, where completion is delayed to late 2029 due to construction complexities and weather impacts. The latter is 71% pre-leased and expected to yield 5-6% on cost, underpinning its commercial viability despite delays.

Industrial developments continue apace with 153,900 square metres completed across key sites such as ASCEND Industrial Estate in Perth and Horizon 3023 in Ravenhall, Victoria, boasting strong leasing metrics and tenant demand. A strategic partnership with Boral Limited aims to develop the Ravenhall Logistics Precinct, potentially the largest institutionally held logistics estate in Australasia, subject to approvals.

Balance Sheet Strength and Capital Management

Dexus maintained a conservative balance sheet with look-through gearing at 33.4%, near the lower bound of its 30-40% target range, supported by $2.5 billion in cash and undrawn facilities. The group successfully issued A$500 million in subordinated notes in December 2025, diversifying funding sources and preserving credit ratings of A-/A3 from S&P and Moody’s.

Capital recycling remains a priority, with $1.9 billion of divestments executed in FY26 and $2.5 billion since FY24, exceeding targets and enabling the recommencement of an on-market securities buyback program. Recent sales include high-profile office assets in Sydney and Brisbane, with proceeds expected to reduce gearing by approximately 3 percentage points.

Sustainability and Customer Engagement Progress

Dexus advanced its sustainability agenda, maintaining net zero Scope 1 and 2 emissions and sourcing 100% renewable electricity across its managed portfolio. The group ranked second among REIT peers and in the top 5% globally in the S&P Global Corporate Sustainability Assessment. Customer satisfaction improved notably, with Net Promoter Scores rising across office (+54), industrial (+17), retail (+28), and healthcare (+50) sectors.

Initiatives such as the Forever Fitout program, which delivers modular, low-carbon fitouts, achieved the first 5 Star Green Star Fitouts certification nationally. Industrial assets expanded solar and battery storage capacity by over 2.5MW, supporting decarbonisation efforts. Community engagement also flourished, with over 126,000 local connections created in FY26, contributing towards a 2030 target of half a million.

FY27 Outlook and Challenges Ahead

Looking ahead, Dexus expects FY27 AFFO to range between 37.5 and 39.5 cents per security, with distributions maintained at 37.0 cents. Earnings will be tempered by lower trading profits, reduced performance fees, ongoing headwinds in funds under review, and higher finance costs, alongside the practical completion of Atlassian Central.

The strategic review of infrastructure funds remains a key focus, with no final decisions yet made. Management continues to prioritise portfolio optimisation, capital efficiency, and platform simplification, while actively engaging with investors to navigate the uncertainties stemming from the APAC litigation and related fund issues.

Dexus’s security price continues to trade at a significant discount to net tangible asset value, reflecting market skepticism amid ongoing legal and operational challenges. The recommencement of buybacks and disciplined capital allocation signal management’s intent to bridge this gap over time.

Investors will be watching closely as the APAC appeal unfolds and the infrastructure review progresses, both pivotal to shaping Dexus’s medium-term trajectory.

$715 million office sales and $700 million sale of Brisbane office recently contributed to capital recycling efforts, underpinning balance sheet flexibility. Meanwhile, the APAC appeals hearing set for October remains a critical upcoming event that could reshape the infrastructure funds review and investor confidence.

Bottom Line?

Dexus’s FY26 results confirm operational resilience amid legal and strategic headwinds, but the pending APAC appeal and infrastructure funds review pose significant uncertainties that will shape its near-term earnings and capital strategy.

Questions in the middle?

  • How will the APAC appeal outcome influence the strategic review and future of Dexus’s infrastructure funds?
  • What pace of capital recycling and portfolio transition can investors realistically expect amid market volatility?
  • How effectively can Dexus leverage sustainability initiatives to enhance asset value and close the discount to net tangible assets?